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Missouri (20-12 in 2025–26) and Illinois (24-8 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Dec 20, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ILL offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MIZ defense in 0
MIZ offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ILL defense in 1 · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ILLMIZ
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ILLMIZNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Keaton Wagler's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler | 37.1 | 20.0 | 4.4 | 5.1 |
| David Mirkovic | 31.3 | 14.9 | 7.1 | 2.7 |
| Kylan Boswell | 27.4 | 10.1 | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 27.1 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 2.0 |
| Andrej Stojakovic | 26.5 | 12.9 | 4.8 | 1.1 |
| Jake Davis | 25.9 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Ben Humrichous | 24.5 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 18.7 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. | 35.9 | 19.2 | 5.2 | 3.8 |
| Jayden Stone | 31.7 | 12.2 | 5.1 | 1.5 |
| T.O. Barrett | 29.7 | 12.9 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| Trent Pierce | 29.5 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 0.8 |
| Anthony Robinson II | 23.1 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. | 21.2 | 7.7 | 5.4 | 0.5 |
| Jacob Crews | 17.7 | 4.7 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| Trent Burns | 10.3 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
ILL offenseper gameMIZ defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ILLForAgainst47% of ILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MIZForAgainst44% of MIZ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ILL 4series2 MIZ| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | MIZ 48 | ILL 91 | ILL+43 | +43 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | ILL 80 | MIZ 77 | ILL+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | MIZ 73 | ILL 97 | ILL+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | ILL 71 | MIZ 93 | MIZ+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2021 | MIZ 63 | ILL 88 | ILL+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2020 | ILL 78 | MIZ 81 | MIZ+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ILL22-8 · last 30 games | MIZ18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 70.3#293 of 361 | 75.3#167 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.3#273 of 361 | 111.2#154 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 49.3%#11 of 361 | 47.5%#112 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +18.4#10 of 361 | +5.5#87 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.