Tennessee State (16-9 in 2025–26) hosts Alabama A&M (14-15 in 2025–26) on Dec 19, 2026, 4:30 PM ET.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
AAMU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TNST defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
TNST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · AAMU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Aaron Nkrumah's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kintavious Dozier | 33.2 | 13.5 | 4.0 | 2.3 |
| Koron Davis | 30.9 | 17.3 | 4.6 | 0.9 |
| James Graham III | 28.7 | 13.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 |
| Sami Pissis | 28.6 | 8.5 | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| PJ Eason | 25.4 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 1.3 |
| Lou Hutchinson | 16.7 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Gabe Kincy | 14.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Bilal Abdur-Rahman | 12.9 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris | 32.1 | 9.7 | 3.6 | 5.7 |
| Aaron Nkrumah | 31.9 | 18.4 | 5.8 | 3.2 |
| Travis Harper II | 30.8 | 16.9 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| Jalen Pitre | 26.2 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 0.7 |
| Antoine Lorick III | 24.7 | 11.1 | 5.5 | 1.0 |
| Carlous Williams | 18.3 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Khalil London | 14.1 | 8.1 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Jabrion Spikes | 11.0 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
44% of AAMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of TNST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | AAMU+27 | +27 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | TNST+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2023 | AAMU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2022 | TNST+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | AAMU+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | AAMU14-16 · last 30 games | TNST18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −10.3#282 of 361 | +8.6#101 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 67.2#290 of 361 | 80.4#110 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −5.1#248 of 361 | +4.6#99 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Possessions per game | 66.7#246 of 361 | 69.4#100 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.