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Longwood (13-16 in 2025–26) hosts Morgan State (11-16 in 2025–26) on Dec 19, 2026, 3:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MORG offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LONG defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
LONG offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MORG defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MORGLONG
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MORGLONGNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Alfred Worrell Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis | 37.4 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 6.3 |
| Rob Lawson | 34.1 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 3.1 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 31.8 | 19.3 | 4.6 | 1.5 |
| Christian Meeks | 29.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 0.6 |
| Eugene Alvin | 20.6 | 9.3 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| Marland Harris | 19.7 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 0.4 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 18.7 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Christian Oliver | 16.0 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoi Hutchinson | 29.9 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Elijah Tucker | 28.8 | 13.6 | 8.5 | 1.1 |
| Johan Nziemi | 26.3 | 10.1 | 5.6 | 1.8 |
| Emanuel Richards | 26.2 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| Redd Thompson Jr. | 24.1 | 10.1 | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 22.1 | 9.0 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Jaylen Benard | 21.7 | 7.8 | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| Elijah Jones | 15.2 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
MORG offenseper gameLONG defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MORGForAgainst45% of MORG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LONGForAgainst45% of LONG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MORG 0series4 LONG| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | LONG 84 | MORG 80 | LONG+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | MORG 66 | LONG 84 | LONG+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | LONG 88 | MORG 54 | LONG+34 | +34 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | MORG 55 | LONG 94 | LONG+39 | +39 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MORG12-18 · last 30 games | LONG13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.5%#121 of 361 | 44.9%#330 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −14.6#330 of 361 | +6.2#130 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −11.0#315 of 361 | −0.9#186 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.9#112 of 361 | 108.2#235 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.