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⌘K
North Carolina (24-8 in 2025–26) and Kentucky (21-13 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Dec 19, 2026, 2:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UK offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNC defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
UNC offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UK defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UKUNC
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UKUNCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Otega Oweh's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh | 35.7 | 21.3 | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| Denzel Aberdeen | 33.6 | 14.0 | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| Collin Chandler | 31.1 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Malachi Moreno | 23.9 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 1.6 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 21.9 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Andrija Jelavic | 16.4 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| Brandon Garrison | 16.2 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Kam Williams | 12.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson | 32.3 | 19.7 | 5.9 | 2.7 |
| Seth Trimble | 31.7 | 13.2 | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| Henri Veesaar | 31.2 | 15.8 | 8.2 | 1.9 |
| Derek Dixon | 27.9 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 26.7 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| Luka Bogavac | 24.0 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Jonathan Powell | 15.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| Zayden High | 12.6 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 0.6 |
UK offenseper gameUNC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UKForAgainst44% of UK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNCForAgainst49% of UNC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UK 2series2 UNC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | UNC 67 | UK 64 | UNC+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | UNC 83 | UK 87 | UK+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2021 | UNC 69 | UK 98 | UK+29 | +29 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2020 | UNC 75 | UK 63 | UNC+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UK18-12 · last 30 games | UNC22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.5%#345 of 361 | 48.6%#41 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 80.4#98 of 361 | 66.8#295 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.3#209 of 361 | 105.8#282 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 68.7#143 of 361 | 67.8#195 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.