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Marquette (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts Xavier (14-18 in 2025–26) on Dec 19, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
XAV offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · MARQ defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
MARQ offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · XAV defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
XAVMARQ
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
XAVMARQNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nigel James Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Messina-Moore | 35.0 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 32.3 | 12.1 | 6.8 | 4.0 |
| Tre Carroll | 31.7 | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.2 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 29.6 | 13.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Roddie Anderson III | 22.1 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| All Wright | 21.5 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Isaiah Walker | 20.9 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| Anthony Robinson | 7.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Ross | 33.9 | 12.8 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Royce Parham | 33.9 | 15.5 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Nigel James Jr. | 33.4 | 19.7 | 4.2 | 5.9 |
| Adrien Stevens | 31.3 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| Ben Gold | 27.6 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 1.2 |
| Damarius Owens | 20.1 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Caedin Hamilton | 9.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Michael Phillips II | 7.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
XAV offenseper gameMARQ defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
XAVForAgainst46% of XAV's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MARQForAgainst50% of MARQ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
XAV 3series7 MARQ| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | XAV 89 | MARQ 87 | XAV+2 | +2 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | MARQ 88 | XAV 96 | XAV+8 | +8 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | XAV 65 | MARQ 66 | MARQ+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | MARQ 89 | XAV 87 | MARQ+2 | +2 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | XAV 59 | MARQ 57 | XAV+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | MARQ 72 | XAV 70 | MARQ+2 | +2 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | MARQ 86 | XAV 80 | MARQ+6 | +6 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | XAV 64 | MARQ 88 | MARQ+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | XAV 51 | MARQ 65 | MARQ+14 | +14 |
| Feb 15, 2023 | XAV 68 | MARQ 69 | MARQ+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | XAV12-18 · last 30 games | MARQ10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 45.7%#284 of 361 | 48.4%#50 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 84.9#36 of 361 | 71.8#190 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.1#58 of 361 | 109.4#203 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.1#156 of 361 | 106.3#241 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.