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Indiana State (8-21 in 2025–26) hosts Murray State (20-12 in 2025–26) on Dec 19, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MUR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · INST defense in 1
INST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MUR defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MURINST
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MURINSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Roman Domon's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon | 29.5 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 1.6 |
| Javon Jackson | 28.1 | 16.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Fred King | 25.3 | 13.3 | 8.3 | 0.5 |
| Layne Taylor | 23.1 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| JJ Traynor | 22.5 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Mason Miller | 22.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.3 |
| KJ Tenner | 19.2 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Mathis Courbon | 13.1 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Scott | 30.3 | 12.3 | 5.6 | 2.6 |
| Camp Wagner | 26.9 | 10.7 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| Bruno Alocen | 26.9 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| Xavier Hall | 26.3 | 7.3 | 2.1 | 3.9 |
| Sterling Young | 24.2 | 10.4 | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Enel St. Bernard | 20.9 | 7.8 | 6.2 | 1.1 |
| Markus Harding | 20.1 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 0.4 |
| Jo Van Buggenhout | 18.1 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 3.2 |
MUR offenseper gameINST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MURForAgainst49% of MUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
INSTForAgainst49% of INST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MUR 4series4 INST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2026 | MUR 74 | INST 72 | MUR+2 | +2 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | INST 81 | MUR 85 | MUR+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | INST 75 | MUR 85 | MUR+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2024 | MUR 74 | INST 84 | INST+10 | +10 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MUR 77 | INST 89 | INST+12 | +12 |
| Jan 21, 2024 | INST 72 | MUR 63 | INST+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | MUR 56 | INST 99 | INST+43 | +43 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | INST 73 | MUR 82 | MUR+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MUR18-12 · last 30 games | INST8-22 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.4%#303 of 361 | 48.4%#58 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.0#59 of 361 | 103.7#293 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 81.1#23 of 361 | 73.6#244 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +2.5#128 of 361 | −6.0#258 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.