Northwestern State (8-22 in 2025–26) hosts McNeese (26-5 in 2025–26) on Dec 19, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MCN offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · NWST defense in 0
NWST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MCN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Larry Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javohn Garcia | 31.2 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Larry Johnson | 29.5 | 18.7 | 5.8 | 1.7 |
| Tyshawn Archie | 28.6 | 13.9 | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| Garwey Dual | 28.2 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 4.2 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 22.7 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 0.7 |
| DJ Richards Jr. | 22.6 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole | 19.1 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 0.7 |
| Carl Cherenfant | 14.4 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Thomas | 32.7 | 16.6 | 2.4 | 2.9 |
| Willie Williams | 31.9 | 11.7 | 8.7 | 1.7 |
| Chris Mubiru | 28.5 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Izzy Miles | 26.1 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| CJ Larry | 22.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Landyn Jumawan | 18.4 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Justin Redmond | 14.6 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Chip Brunt | 12.3 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of MCN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of NWST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | MCN+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | MCN+38 | +38 | ||
| Mar 11, 2025 | MCN+19 | +19 | ||
| Feb 8, 2025 | MCN+15 | +15 | ||
| Jan 6, 2025 | MCN+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2024 | MCN+24 | +24 | ||
| Jan 8, 2024 | MCN+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | NWST+14 | +14 | ||
| Jan 5, 2023 | MCN+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | MCN+13 | +13 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MCN26-4 · last 30 games | NWST8-22 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | +15.9#15 of 361 | −10.6#310 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +10.5#16 of 361 | −6.8#309 of 361 | −0.5 |
| 1st half points for | 37.1#78 of 361 | 29.9#343 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.1#57 of 361 | 102.1#310 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.