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UC Davis (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts Idaho State (10-20 in 2025–26) on Dec 17, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
IDST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UCD defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UCD offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · IDST defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin) · 1 even
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
IDSTUCD
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
IDSTUCDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Marcus Wilson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Kheil | 29.4 | 7.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 28.8 | 13.1 | 4.7 | 1.4 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 28.4 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| Jamison Guerra | 22.9 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Louis Bond | 18.1 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | 16.5 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 0.5 |
| Gus Etchison | 16.1 | 11.4 | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| Evan Otten | 14.3 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Sevilla | 31.1 | 12.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 29.8 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| Brayden Fagbemi | 28.3 | 6.9 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| Marcus Wilson | 27.4 | 14.9 | 3.1 | 4.3 |
| Niko Rocak | 23.9 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 1.6 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 23.2 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 0.6 |
| Nils Cooper | 20.6 | 8.8 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
| Jalen Stokes | 15.9 | 6.3 | 3.2 | 0.6 |
IDST offenseper gameUCD defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
IDSTForAgainst49% of IDST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UCDForAgainst47% of UCD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
IDST 0series2 UCD| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | UCD 93 | IDST 83 | UCD+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2020 | IDST 61 | UCD 70 | UCD+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | IDST10-20 · last 30 games | UCD16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 66.6#254 of 361 | 71.1#34 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.5#33 of 361 | 107.3#252 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.6%#116 of 361 | 45.1%#321 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −9.6#268 of 361 | +5.6#142 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.