UAB (19-12 in 2025–26) hosts Middle Tennessee (14-15 in 2025–26) on Dec 17, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MTSU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · UAB defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
UAB offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MTSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Chance Westry's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston | 32.7 | 14.6 | 8.3 | 1.7 |
| Kamari Lands | 29.7 | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
| Chris Loofe | 27.2 | 7.5 | 6.6 | 0.7 |
| Jahvin Carter | 25.7 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| Sean Smith | 23.1 | 9.5 | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Alec Oglesby | 22.6 | 7.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Tre Green | 17.9 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. | 14.2 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance Westry | 33.3 | 15.6 | 4.0 | 6.9 |
| Evan Chatman | 30.6 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 1.2 |
| Daniel Rivera | 30.1 | 12.7 | 6.3 | 1.4 |
| Jacob Meyer | 29.0 | 10.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Dayjaun Anderson | 24.1 | 8.1 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| KyeRon Lindsay-Martin | 21.7 | 10.5 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| Salim London | 20.1 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| Ahmad Robinson | 15.7 | 5.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of MTSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of UAB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2025 | MTSU+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | MTSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2023 | UAB+1 | +1 | ||
| Feb 11, 2023 | UAB+23 | +23 | ||
| Jan 16, 2023 | MTSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2022 | UAB+4 | +4 | ||
| Feb 5, 2022 | UAB+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2021 | UAB+11 | +11 | ||
| Jan 28, 2021 | UAB+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MTSU14-16 · last 30 games | UAB18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 67.3#219 of 361 | 70.1#72 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 38.3#239 of 361 | 41.4#94 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 74.2#255 of 361 | 74.7#127 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.6#168 of 361 | 107.0#256 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.