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South Florida (24-8 in 2025–26) hosts Alabama (23-9 in 2025–26) on Dec 16, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ALA offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · USF defense in 0
USF offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · ALA defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ALAUSF
Expected pace: about 74 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ALAUSFNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Labaron Philon Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labaron Philon Jr. | 32.3 | 21.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 |
| Amari Allen | 28.8 | 11.6 | 6.4 | 2.6 |
| Aden Holloway | 28.1 | 15.3 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. | 27.9 | 14.1 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Aiden Sherrell | 26.5 | 12.5 | 6.3 | 1.5 |
| Houston Mallette | 23.0 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Charles Bediako | 21.6 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
| London Jemison | 15.3 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis | 35.3 | 19.1 | 4.0 | 2.9 |
| Joseph Pinion | 30.7 | 14.3 | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 27.8 | 15.7 | 9.2 | 1.5 |
| Josh Omojafo | 27.6 | 8.6 | 5.2 | 1.1 |
| CJ Brown | 26.1 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Isaiah Jones | 15.7 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 0.4 |
| Daimion Collins | 13.9 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Gavin Hightower | 12.0 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
ALA offenseper gameUSF defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ALAForAgainst48% of ALA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
USFForAgainst48% of USF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ALA 1series0 USF| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | USF 93 | ALA 104 | ALA+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ALA21-9 · last 30 games | USF23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.1#102 of 361 | 104.0#307 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 2nd half points against | 45.8#5 of 361 | 40.1#158 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +1.1#67 of 361 | +16.5#17 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.