Akron vs Buffalo Odds, Stats & Props — Dec 16

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

AKR +12.4 · BUF +0.5

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

AKR 9-1 · BUF 3-7

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

AKR 13d · BUF 3d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

AKR offensevsBUF defense

AKR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · BUF defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

58.5%

#8Stronger

55.1%

#330

Turnovers · per 100 plays

13.5%

#98slight

15.7%

#103

Offensive rebounding %

33.5%

#78Stronger

31.1%

#208

Free throw rate

21.9%

#293

23.3%

Stronger#106

BUF offensevsAKR defense

BUF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · AKR defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

55.4%

#31Stronger

50.6%

#130

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.5%

#177

16.0%

Stronger#85

Offensive rebounding %

27.1%

#291

29.9%

Stronger#152

Free throw rate

29.1%

#64slight

21.9%

#69

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

AKRBUF

+17.5 16thNet rating168th +0.7

123.1 6thOffensive rating75th 114.8

105.5 81stDefensive rating284th 114.1

70.6 57thPace213th 67.5

Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

AKR 2-point shooting
AKR offense 59.1% (12th) vs BUF defense allowing 56.9% (338th)
+326 spots
AKR effective shooting
AKR offense 58.5% (8th) vs BUF defense allowing 55.1% (330th)
+322 spots
AKR 3-point shooting
AKR offense 38.5% (13th) vs BUF defense allowing 35.1% (250th)
+237 spots
BUF 3-point shooting
BUF offense 37.9% (19th) vs AKR defense allowing 35.1% (252nd)
+233 spots
BUF effective shooting
BUF offense 55.4% (31st) vs AKR defense allowing 50.6% (130th)
+99 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

AKR

BUF

13 days rest

BUF

PFW

AKR

3 days rest3rd straight home game

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

AKR · last 10

27-5 · 270 days rest

Mar 20 @ TTU2025–26L 71–91
Mar 14 vs TOL2025–26W 79–76
Mar 13 vs KENT2025–26W 75–68
Mar 12 vs BUF2025–26W 73–70
Mar 6 vs NIU2025–26W 94–55
Mar 3 @ CMU2025–26W 77–64
Feb 27 @ KENT2025–26W 92–70
Feb 24 vs BUF2025–26W 99–85
Feb 20 @ BALL2025–26W 78–65
Feb 17 @ WMU2025–26W 90–73

9-1 in these

BUF · last 10

15-15 · 278 days rest

Mar 12 @ AKR2025–26L 70–73
Mar 6 @ TOL2025–26L 78–99
Mar 3 vs EMU2025–26W 72–67
Feb 28 vs CMU2025–26L 70–75
Feb 24 @ AKR2025–26L 85–99
Feb 21 @ MASS2025–26W 86–82
Feb 17 vs NIU2025–26L 70–72
Feb 11 @ BALL2025–26W 63–53
Feb 7 @ USA2025–26L 69–81
Feb 3 vs M-OH2025–26L 71–73

3-7 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Akron Zips

Buffalo Bulls

Ryan Sabol

BUF vs AKR

Player page →

Points No line yet

AKR at BUF

Full breakdown

Ryan Sabol's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

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hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

AKR rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Tavari Johnson	33.8	20.2	3.7	4.1
Amani Lyles	29.9	13.3	8.7	2.0
Evan Mahaffey	28.8	10.7	6.5	3.1
Shammah Scott	26.4	12.1	2.0	2.9
Eric Mahaffey	21.0	7.4	5.5	1.4
Sharron Young	19.7	7.0	2.9	1.1
Bowen Hardman	19.1	7.9	1.3	0.3
Zach Halligan	13.7	2.5	2.7	0.5

BUF rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Ryan Sabol	38.2	20.9	3.9	3.4
Angelo Brizzi	33.2	18.1	3.1	2.4
Noah Batchelor	32.6	7.9	4.7	1.3
Daniel Freitag	31.7	18.5	3.5	5.2
Derrick Talton Jr.	31.5	6.5	2.8	3.9
Tim Oboh	24.1	8.5	6.1	0.2
Mikhail Pocknett	15.7	3.8	3.0	0.5
Ezra McKenna	14.2	3.2	3.4	0.7

Team rankings (2025–26)History

AKR offenseper gameBUF defense

Effective FG%

8th58.5%

55.1%330th

Turnover %

98th13.5%

15.7%103rd

Offensive rebound %

78th33.5%

31.1%208th

Free throw rate

293rd21.9%

23.3%106th

Points

7th86.9

77.0241st

Field goal %

13th49.8%

47.7%324th

2-point %

12th59.1%

56.9%338th

3-point %

13th38.5%

35.1%250th

Free throw %

75th75.3%

74.4%284th

Rebounds

65th37.1

34.0129th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

AKRForAgainst

1st half

40.5

33.9

2nd half

41.3

37.4

Game

81.8

71.4

49% of AKR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

BUFForAgainst

1st half

33.5

37.6

2nd half

42.9

43.5

Game

76.4

81.2

44% of BUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

AKR 10series0 BUF

Last 10AAAAAAAAAA

Avg total

152.3

combined points

Avg margin

AKR 17.5

per meeting

Biggest win

AKR +32

Jan 21, 2025

Last meeting

AKR won

Mar 12, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026AKR 3-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 12, 2026	BUF 70	AKR 73	AKR+3	+3
Feb 24, 2026	BUF 85	AKR 99	AKR+14	+14
Jan 20, 2026	AKR 82	BUF 63	AKR+19	+19

2025AKR 2-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 7, 2025	BUF 70	AKR 88	AKR+18	+18
Jan 21, 2025	AKR 90	BUF 58	AKR+32	+32

2024AKR 2-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 17, 2024	AKR 73	BUF 62	AKR+11	+11
Jan 12, 2024	BUF 59	AKR 76	AKR+17	+17

2023AKR 3-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 9, 2023	BUF 77	AKR 101	AKR+24	+24
Feb 18, 2023	BUF 66	AKR 86	AKR+20	+20
Jan 31, 2023	AKR 81	BUF 64	AKR+17	+17

Measure	AKR25-5 · last 30 games	BUF15-15 · last 30 games	League
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	+8.6#8 of 361	−1.5#301 of 361	−0.5
Points against (home at home, visitor on the road)	71.2#317 of 361	77.9#58 of 361	74.8
Points allowed per 100 possessions	106.3#274 of 361	114.1#79 of 361	109.9
Possessions per game	70.4#56 of 361	67.5#212 of 361	68.0

Measure	AKR25-5 · last 30 games	BUF15-15 · last 30 games	League
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	+8.6#8 of 361	−1.5#301 of 361	−0.5
Points against (home at home, visitor on the road)	71.2#317 of 361	77.9#58 of 361	74.8
Points allowed per 100 possessions	106.3#274 of 361	114.1#79 of 361	109.9
Possessions per game	70.4#56 of 361	67.5#212 of 361	68.0

Akron vs Buffalo — College Basketball, Dec 16, 2026

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory