Ohio vs Ball State Odds, Stats & Props — Dec 16

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

OHIO −3.3 · BALL −5.3

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

OHIO 4-6 · BALL 5-5

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

OHIO 10d · BALL 6d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

OHIO offensevsBALL defense

OHIO offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · BALL defense in 2

Shooting · effective FG%

50.9%

#195slight

52.7%

#247

Turnovers · per 100 plays

13.6%

#107

16.4%

slight#60

Offensive rebounding %

28.4%

#249

31.0%

slight#204

Free throw rate

26.2%

#149slight

24.8%

#152

BALL offensevsOHIO defense

BALL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · OHIO defense in 2

Shooting · effective FG%

47.0%

#332

53.0%

slight#265

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.2%

#153slight

14.1%

#209

Offensive rebounding %

27.1%

#289slight

32.8%

#293

Free throw rate

22.4%

#266

28.0%

slight#265

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

OHIOBALL

−4.7 246thNet rating285th −8.1

109.3 177thOffensive rating322nd 101.2

114.0 280thDefensive rating165th 109.3

70.2 76thPace313th 65.3

Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

OHIO 2-point shooting
OHIO offense 54.5% (69th) vs BALL defense allowing 53.0% (234th)
+165 spots
BALL turnovers
BALL offense 14.2% (153rd) vs OHIO defense allowing 14.1% (209th)
+56 spots
OHIO effective shooting
OHIO offense 50.9% (195th) vs BALL defense allowing 52.7% (247th)
+52 spots
BALL 3-point shooting
BALL offense 31.4% (310th) vs OHIO defense allowing 36.8% (335th)
+25 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

OHIO

BALL

10 days rest

BALL

EVAN

OHIO

6 days rest3rd straight home game

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

OHIO · last 10

13-17 · 278 days rest

Mar 12 @ KENT2025–26L 75–86
Mar 6 vs M-OH2025–26L 108–110
Mar 3 @ MASS2025–26L 82–94
Feb 28 vs TOL2025–26L 67–79
Feb 21 @ NIU2025–26W 74–66
Feb 17 vs BALL2025–26W 69–57
Feb 13 @ M-OH2025–26L 74–90
Feb 7 @ ODU2025–26L 72–78
Feb 3 vs WMU2025–26W 91–71
Jan 31 @ BUF2025–26W 95–83

4-6 in these

BALL · last 10

10-19 · 284 days rest

Mar 6 vs CMU2025–26W 85–69
Mar 3 @ WMU2025–26W 74–71
Feb 28 @ NIU2025–26W 79–43
Feb 24 vs MASS2025–26W 74–73
Feb 20 vs AKR2025–26L 65–78
Feb 17 @ OHIO2025–26L 57–69
Feb 14 vs KENT2025–26L 68–75
Feb 11 vs BUF2025–26L 53–63
Feb 7 @ ULM2025–26W 73–68
Feb 3 @ BGSU2025–26L 52–77

5-5 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Ohio Bobcats

Ball State Cardinals

Jackson Paveletzke

OHIO vs BALL

Player page →

Points No line yet

OHIO at BALL

Full breakdown

Jackson Paveletzke's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

OHIO rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Jackson Paveletzke	37.9	17.7	3.2	5.8
Ajay Sheldon	33.0	7.7	2.0	1.6
Aidan Hadaway	32.5	15.3	7.0	1.8
JJ Kelly	30.4	8.9	4.1	0.6
Javan Simmons	29.6	17.6	6.6	1.7
Jalen Breath	12.2	2.9	2.6	0.2
Dior Conners	10.3	3.1	1.5	0.9
Kiir Kuany	9.8	3.3	1.7	0.2

BALL rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Armoni Zeigler	34.1	14.3	5.5	3.7
Davion Hill	31.1	16.6	5.1	2.7
Mason Jones	29.1	2.9	4.0	1.5
Elmore James IV	24.6	7.3	2.0	0.9
Devon Barnes	21.2	9.3	1.5	1.7
Preston Copeland	19.9	4.3	4.3	0.1
Kayden Fish	19.9	7.8	3.3	0.5
Juwan Maxey	14.5	5.3	2.0	0.3

Team rankings (2025–26)History

OHIO offenseper gameBALL defense

Effective FG%

195th50.9%

52.7%247th

Turnover %

107th13.6%

16.4%60th

Offensive rebound %

249th28.4%

31.0%204th

Free throw rate

149th26.2%

24.8%152nd

Points

125th76.7

71.492nd

Field goal %

142nd45.2%

45.5%227th

2-point %

69th54.5%

53.0%234th

3-point %

337th30.1%

34.8%233rd

Free throw %

231st71.0%

77.3%354th

Rebounds

257th33.2

36.2272nd

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

OHIOForAgainst

1st half

37.5

37.9

2nd half

41.5

43.8

Game

78.9

81.7

47% of OHIO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

BALLForAgainst

1st half

30.2

31.9

2nd half

36.7

38.1

Game

66.9

70.0

45% of BALL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

OHIO 9series1 BALL

Last 10OBOOOOOOOO

Avg total

150.2

combined points

Avg margin

OHIO 10.4

per meeting

Biggest win

OHIO +24

Feb 1, 2022

Last meeting

OHIO won

Feb 17, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026OHIO 1-1 BALL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 17, 2026	BALL 57	OHIO 69	OHIO+12	+12
Jan 16, 2026	OHIO 71	BALL 76	BALL+5	+5

2025OHIO 1-0 BALL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 14, 2025	BALL 71	OHIO 86	OHIO+15	+15

2024OHIO 1-0 BALL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 6, 2024	OHIO 84	BALL 79	OHIO+5	+5

2023OHIO 2-0 BALL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 9, 2023	OHIO 90	BALL 70	OHIO+20	+20
Jan 10, 2023	BALL 71	OHIO 76	OHIO+5	+5

2022OHIO 2-0 BALL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 10, 2022	BALL 67	OHIO 77	OHIO+10	+10
Feb 1, 2022	BALL 63	OHIO 87	OHIO+24	+24

2021OHIO 2-0 BALL

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 23, 2021	BALL 77	OHIO 85	OHIO+8	+8
Jan 2, 2021	OHIO 78	BALL 68	OHIO+10	+10

Measure	OHIO13-17 · last 30 games	BALL10-20 · last 30 games	League
Possessions per game	70.2#68 of 361	65.5#297 of 361	68.0
Points for (home at home, visitor on the road)	74.9#113 of 361	67.4#337 of 361	74.3
Points against	80.0#43 of 361	71.6#265 of 361	74.8
Points scored per 100 possessions	109.3#173 of 361	100.8#328 of 361	109.2

Measure	OHIO13-17 · last 30 games	BALL10-20 · last 30 games	League
Possessions per game	70.2#68 of 361	65.5#297 of 361	68.0
Points for (home at home, visitor on the road)	74.9#113 of 361	67.4#337 of 361	74.3
Points against	80.0#43 of 361	71.6#265 of 361	74.8
Points scored per 100 possessions	109.3#173 of 361	100.8#328 of 361	109.2

Ohio vs Ball State — College Basketball, Dec 16, 2026

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory