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Northwestern (15-19 in 2025–26) hosts Mercyhurst (13-17 in 2025–26) on Dec 16, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MERC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
NU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MERC defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MERCNU
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MERCNUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Martinelli's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernie Blunt III | 32.3 | 17.5 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| Qadir Martin | 31.7 | 13.5 | 7.4 | 1.1 |
| Jake Lemelman | 31.1 | 15.1 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Deshaun Jackson Jr. | 22.2 | 5.4 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| Christian Gamble | 22.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas | 18.1 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 0.5 |
| Sean Lang | 16.2 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann | 14.1 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 37.1 | 22.3 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| Jake West | 31.6 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| Tre Singleton | 26.4 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Reid | 25.3 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 22.3 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| Arrinten Page | 19.0 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Jordan Clayton | 18.2 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Max Green | 17.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
MERC offenseper gameNU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MERCForAgainst46% of MERC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NUForAgainst47% of NU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MERC 0series1 NU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | MERC 47 | NU 70 | NU+23 | +23 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MERC13-17 · last 30 games | NU11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.7%#276 of 361 | 48.6%#44 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 104.9#297 of 361 | 113.8#85 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.0#300 of 361 | 110.9#139 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 62.2#348 of 361 | 76.0#194 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.