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Wisconsin (24-10 in 2025–26) and Villanova (23-8 in 2025–26) meet at a neutral site on Dec 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
VILL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · WIS defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
WIS offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · VILL defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
VILLWIS
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
VILLWISNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Boyd's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan | 33.1 | 12.3 | 9.9 | 2.3 |
| Tyler Perkins | 32.6 | 16.2 | 6.0 | 1.5 |
| Acaden Lewis | 31.0 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 26.7 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Matt Hodge | 25.3 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| Devin Askew | 24.0 | 10.9 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Malachi Palmer | 22.7 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Chris Jeffrey | 7.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell | 35.8 | 19.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| Nick Boyd | 35.5 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Nolan Winter | 33.0 | 11.5 | 8.3 | 1.1 |
| Andrew Rohde | 28.4 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| Austin Rapp | 23.8 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| Braeden Carrington | 22.7 | 9.9 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas | 22.5 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Jack Janicki | 13.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
VILL offenseper gameWIS defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
VILLForAgainst48% of VILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
WISForAgainst46% of WIS's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
VILL 1series0 WIS| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | WIS 66 | VILL 76 | VILL+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | VILL23-7 · last 30 games | WIS20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 38.5#245 of 361 | 42.8#45 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Possessions per game | 66.5#255 of 361 | 69.2#108 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.2#275 of 361 | 111.8#142 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 2nd half points for | 40.6#134 of 361 | 43.4#30 of 361 | 39.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.