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Marquette (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts Mississippi State (13-19 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MARQ defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
MARQ offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSST defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSSTMARQ
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSSTMARQNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josh Hubbard's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34.3 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Jayden Epps | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 20.7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Achor Achor | 18.5 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Sergej Macura | 18.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard | 18.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Ross | 33.9 | 12.8 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Royce Parham | 33.9 | 15.5 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Nigel James Jr. | 33.4 | 19.7 | 4.2 | 5.9 |
| Adrien Stevens | 31.3 | 10.5 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| Ben Gold | 27.6 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 1.2 |
| Damarius Owens | 20.1 | 5.9 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Caedin Hamilton | 9.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Michael Phillips II | 7.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
MSST offenseper gameMARQ defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSSTForAgainst48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MARQForAgainst50% of MARQ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSST 1series0 MARQ| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | MARQ 55 | MSST 58 | MSST+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSST12-18 · last 30 games | MARQ10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 88.4#8 of 361 | 71.8#190 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 80.9#24 of 361 | 75.5#205 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 114.7#67 of 361 | 109.4#203 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 71.5#23 of 361 | 69.8#86 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.