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Georgetown (16-18 in 2025–26) hosts North Carolina (24-8 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UNC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · GTWN defense in 1
GTWN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNC defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UNCGTWN
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UNCGTWNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Caleb Wilson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson | 32.3 | 19.7 | 5.9 | 2.7 |
| Seth Trimble | 31.7 | 13.2 | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| Henri Veesaar | 31.2 | 15.8 | 8.2 | 1.9 |
| Derek Dixon | 27.9 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 26.7 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| Luka Bogavac | 24.0 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Jonathan Powell | 15.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| Zayden High | 12.6 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Mack | 32.6 | 13.3 | 2.7 | 4.0 |
| KJ Lewis | 30.7 | 15.2 | 4.8 | 2.1 |
| Caleb Williams | 29.5 | 7.2 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| Kayvaun Mulready | 24.4 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Vince Iwuchukwu | 23.7 | 12.8 | 6.5 | 0.5 |
| Jeremiah Williams | 22.2 | 7.5 | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| Isaiah Abraham | 19.9 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 0.9 |
| Julius Halaifonua | 16.4 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
UNC offenseper gameGTWN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UNCForAgainst49% of UNC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
GTWNForAgainst47% of GTWN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UNC 1series0 GTWN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | GTWN 61 | UNC 81 | UNC+20 | +20 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UNC22-8 · last 30 games | GTWN12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 49.6%#13 of 361 | 46.6%#203 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +10.7#44 of 361 | −1.0#192 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points for | 79.1#73 of 361 | 72.8#219 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.5#53 of 361 | 109.1#177 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.