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Western Michigan (8-20 in 2025–26) hosts Toledo (17-15 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TOL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · WMU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
WMU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TOL defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TOLWMU
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
TOLWMUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Leroy Blyden Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 37.0 | 16.5 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 34.7 | 17.0 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Sean Craig | 31.6 | 10.1 | 6.4 | 1.4 |
| Austin Parks | 27.1 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 2.1 |
| Mynor Strong | 23.7 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 18.5 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 16.0 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Will James Jr. | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Williams | 30.7 | 15.3 | 3.8 | 2.1 |
| EJ Ryans | 27.0 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Brady Swartz | 26.1 | 8.9 | 5.5 | 0.2 |
| Jayden Brewer | 25.3 | 13.3 | 6.4 | 0.9 |
| Max Burton | 23.0 | 4.2 | 4.0 | 0.9 |
| Jalen Griffith | 17.6 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Trey Lewis | 17.3 | 7.7 | 2.4 | 0.3 |
| Carson Vis | 14.7 | 6.4 | 2.4 | 0.5 |
TOL offenseper gameWMU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
TOLForAgainst50% of TOL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
WMUForAgainst44% of WMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TOL 9series0 WMU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | TOL 90 | WMU 79 | TOL+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | WMU 79 | TOL 84 | TOL+5 | +5 |
| Jan 4, 2025 | TOL 76 | WMU 70 | TOL+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | WMU 63 | TOL 88 | TOL+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2023 | WMU 74 | TOL 102 | TOL+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2022 | TOL 92 | WMU 50 | TOL+42 | +42 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | WMU 56 | TOL 83 | TOL+27 | +27 |
| Feb 27, 2021 | WMU 44 | TOL 91 | TOL+47 | +47 |
| Jan 2, 2021 | TOL 70 | WMU 59 | TOL+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TOL17-13 · last 30 games | WMU9-21 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.3%#58 of 361 | 43.6%#356 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Scoring margin | +3.0#102 of 361 | −6.6#301 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +4.3#102 of 361 | −9.7#300 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.3#56 of 361 | 106.7#236 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.