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Notre Dame (13-18 in 2025–26) hosts Ohio State (21-12 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
OSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · ND defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
ND offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · OSU defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OSUND
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
OSUNDNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bruce Thornton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton | 36.2 | 19.7 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 32.9 | 16.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Devin Royal | 32.8 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Amare Bynum | 31.4 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Christoph Tilly | 24.7 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| Taison Chatman | 20.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Ivan Njegovan | 12.7 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Puff Johnson | 11.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry | 35.1 | 12.4 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Cole Certa | 33.7 | 17.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Jalen Haralson | 27.6 | 17.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
| Carson Towt | 25.4 | 4.9 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| Logan Imes | 23.7 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Brady Koehler | 21.5 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Sir Mohammed | 17.8 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| Garrett Sundra | 16.3 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
OSU offenseper gameND defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
OSUForAgainst48% of OSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NDForAgainst45% of ND's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OSU 2series0 ND| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | ND 63 | OSU 64 | OSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2020 | OSU 90 | ND 85 | OSU+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OSU18-12 · last 30 games | ND12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 72.3#297 of 361 | 76.6#80 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.4%#120 of 361 | 44.8%#329 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +8.4#59 of 361 | −2.4#213 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 118.5#34 of 361 | 110.5#147 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.