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⌘K
Kentucky (21-13 in 2025–26) hosts Louisville (23-10 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LOU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · UK defense in 0
UK offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LOU defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LOUUK
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
LOUUKNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Otega Oweh's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 32.2 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 31.1 | 19.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 28.3 | 13.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Isaac McKneely | 27.5 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Sananda Fru | 20.7 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| Adrian Wooley | 20.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Khani Rooths | 15.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| Aly Khalifa | 11.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh | 35.7 | 21.3 | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| Denzel Aberdeen | 33.6 | 14.0 | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| Collin Chandler | 31.1 | 11.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Malachi Moreno | 23.9 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 1.6 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 21.9 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 1.1 |
| Andrija Jelavic | 16.4 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 0.8 |
| Brandon Garrison | 16.2 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Kam Williams | 12.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
LOU offenseper gameUK defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
LOUForAgainst48% of LOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UKForAgainst44% of UK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
LOU 2series3 UK| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | UK 88 | LOU 96 | LOU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | LOU 85 | UK 93 | UK+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | UK 95 | LOU 76 | UK+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | LOU 63 | UK 86 | UK+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2020 | UK 59 | LOU 62 | LOU+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LOU20-10 · last 30 games | UK18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.2%#60 of 361 | 44.5%#345 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.8%#268 of 361 | 48.9%#33 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 104.5#299 of 361 | 109.3#209 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +15.0#19 of 361 | +6.0#81 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.