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Valparaiso (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts Chicago State (5-24 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CHST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · VAL defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
VAL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CHST defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CHSTVAL
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CHSTVALNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
CJ Ray's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ray | 34.1 | 15.9 | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| Marcus Tankersley | 30.8 | 12.9 | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Braelon Bush | 27.1 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 3.9 |
| Doyel Cockrill III | 26.0 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Stephen Byard | 21.4 | 11.2 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Corey Sands | 18.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Malek Robinson | 15.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Dailliss Cox | 15.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Dease | 31.0 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Rakim Chaney | 29.7 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| JT Pettigrew | 29.5 | 13.5 | 7.6 | 2.2 |
| Brody Whitaker | 28.6 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Shon Tupuola | 24.7 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Justus McNair | 22.1 | 9.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Carter Hopoi | 13.3 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| Sader Servilus | 12.9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
CHST offenseper gameVAL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CHSTForAgainst47% of CHST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
VALForAgainst47% of VAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CHST 2series0 VAL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | CHST 63 | VAL 62 | CHST+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2022 | VAL 74 | CHST 87 | CHST+13 | +13 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CHST5-25 · last 30 games | VAL16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 80.5#95 of 361 | 65.9#314 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −15.8#341 of 361 | +6.4#128 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 117.1#27 of 361 | 109.0#214 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −17.8#348 of 361 | −0.9#185 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.