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Providence (15-18 in 2025–26) hosts Butler (15-16 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BTLR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · PROV defense in 1
PROV offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · BTLR defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BTLRPROV
Expected pace: about 72 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BTLRPROVNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaylin Sellers's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finley Bizjack | 36.9 | 18.4 | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Michael Ajayi | 35.3 | 16.4 | 10.1 | 3.2 |
| Jamie Kaiser Jr. | 31.1 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| Azavier Robinson | 24.4 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 3.0 |
| Yohan Traore | 21.4 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| Evan Haywood | 20.3 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Drayton Jones | 18.8 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor | 18.7 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vaaks | 33.0 | 17.3 | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Jaylin Sellers | 32.7 | 22.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| Ryan Mela | 30.5 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 |
| Jamier Jones | 30.3 | 11.7 | 5.1 | 1.3 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 27.7 | 6.1 | 9.5 | 0.9 |
| Jason Edwards | 24.4 | 14.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. | 22.4 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Duncan Powell | 14.6 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
BTLR offenseper gamePROV defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BTLRForAgainst49% of BTLR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PROVForAgainst45% of PROV's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BTLR 4series6 PROV| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | PROV 91 | BTLR 81 | PROV+10 | +10 |
| Feb 4, 2026 | BTLR 87 | PROV 97 | PROV+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | PROV 110 | BTLR 113 | BTLR+3 | +3 |
| Mar 12, 2025 | BTLR 75 | PROV 69 | BTLR+6 | +6 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | PROV 81 | BTLR 82 | BTLR+1 | +1 |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BTLR 65 | PROV 84 | PROV+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | PROV 72 | BTLR 75 | BTLR+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | BTLR 75 | PROV 85 | PROV+10 | +10 |
| Jan 25, 2023 | BTLR 58 | PROV 79 | PROV+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | PROV 72 | BTLR 52 | PROV+20 | +20 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BTLR14-16 · last 30 games | PROV13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.7%#95 of 361 | 44.7%#335 of 361 | 46.8% |
| 1st half points against | 35.3#167 of 361 | 38.4#39 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Possessions per game | 69.6#93 of 361 | 72.6#13 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.2#128 of 361 | 115.0#60 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.