Little Rock (7-18 in 2025–26) hosts Southern Illinois (15-16 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SIU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LR defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
LR offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · SIU defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Quel'Ron House's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Steffe | 34.9 | 10.7 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| Quel'Ron House | 33.0 | 16.9 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 27.2 | 10.1 | 8.5 | 0.9 |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 25.6 | 9.9 | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| Jalen Haynes | 25.3 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| Prince Aligbe | 21.5 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 0.6 |
| Davion Sykes | 18.8 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Max Pikaar | 9.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 38.1 | 16.2 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Braxton Bayless | 35.1 | 11.4 | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 32.3 | 8.6 | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| Cameron Wallace | 30.4 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 2.2 |
| Kachi Nzeh | 30.0 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 1.4 |
| Truman Claytor IV | 20.1 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Joseph Thomas | 10.2 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 8.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
45% of SIU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
44% of LR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | SIU+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | SIU+31 | +31 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | LR+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SIU14-16 · last 30 games | LR9-21 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.7%#277 of 361 | 49.5%#16 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 100.6#339 of 361 | 111.8#144 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 69.8#85 of 361 | 66.4#264 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin | +1.5#131 of 361 | −6.8#306 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.