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Fresno State (12-19 in 2025–26) hosts San Francisco (16-16 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · FRES defense in 2
FRES offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · SF defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SFFRES
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SFFRESNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
DeShawn Gory's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone Riley IV | 34.1 | 12.9 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Ryan Beasley | 34.1 | 12.9 | 3.5 | 5.1 |
| Legend Smiley | 26.9 | 8.8 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| David Fuchs | 25.4 | 13.6 | 8.6 | 1.4 |
| Junjie Wang | 24.9 | 11.3 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Vukasin Masic | 19.4 | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Guillermo Diaz Graham | 17.8 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| Mookie Cook | 16.3 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 37.1 | 15.6 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| DeShawn Gory | 34.4 | 17.1 | 7.6 | 2.6 |
| Wilson Jacques | 29.6 | 9.7 | 9.0 | 0.7 |
| Zaon Collins | 27.3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 26.3 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Bastien Rieber | 23.1 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Cameron Faas | 17.2 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| DJ Stickman | 13.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
SF offenseper gameFRES defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SFForAgainst44% of SF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
FRESForAgainst47% of FRES's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SF 3series0 FRES| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | FRES 57 | SF 77 | SF+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2022 | SF 67 | FRES 60 | SF+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2021 | FRES 63 | SF 71 | SF+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SF15-15 · last 30 games | FRES12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 111.5#126 of 361 | 105.7#257 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Possessions per game | 66.3#270 of 361 | 68.7#140 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −1.0#92 of 361 | +3.1#205 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 73.3#271 of 361 | 71.9#186 of 361 | 74.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.