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Wagner (10-16 in 2025–26) hosts UMBC (22-8 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UMBC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · WAG defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
WAG offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · UMBC defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UMBCWAG
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UMBCWAGNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Jones's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine | 33.1 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. | 31.6 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Jah'Likai King | 31.0 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn | 24.3 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 0.9 |
| Josh Odunowo | 23.4 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 |
| Caden Diggs | 21.8 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Riley Jacobs | 12.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Cougar Downing | 11.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Jones | 34.5 | 15.8 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Jaden Baker | 31.8 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| John Awoke | 26.9 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| Travis Gray | 25.9 | 9.2 | 6.8 | 0.6 |
| Binael Basil | 24.5 | 8.6 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Eddie Placer | 24.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Bryan Akanmu | 22.9 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| Zavier Fitch | 17.5 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 0.3 |
UMBC offenseper gameWAG defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UMBCForAgainst48% of UMBC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
WAGForAgainst46% of WAG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UMBC 1series0 WAG| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | WAG 70 | UMBC 71 | UMBC+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UMBC22-8 · last 30 games | WAG12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 75.5#101 of 361 | 66.3#349 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +4.9#27 of 361 | +1.1#260 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +11.2#40 of 361 | −5.0#246 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 113.6#90 of 361 | 105.2#268 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.