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Louisiana Tech (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts Stephen F. Austin (26-5 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SFA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LT defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
LT offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · SFA defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SFALT
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SFALTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Keon Thompson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson | 30.3 | 20.1 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Chrishawn Christmas | 29.3 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 1.4 |
| Lateef Patrick | 27.2 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Jerald Colonel | 26.5 | 4.9 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| Narit Chotikavanic | 21.9 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Kam Burton | 20.5 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| Ahamed Mohammed | 16.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Gediminas Alisas | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Bates | 37.2 | 13.5 | 2.9 | 6.6 |
| DJ Dudley | 31.5 | 13.7 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| Avery Thomas II | 29.6 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 0.6 |
| Kaden Cooper | 27.8 | 10.4 | 8.3 | 1.6 |
| Jaylen Fenner | 23.6 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| Scooter Williams | 22.0 | 10.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Will Allen | 20.5 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Melian Martinez | 17.5 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 0.2 |
SFA offenseper gameLT defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SFAForAgainst48% of SFA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LTForAgainst49% of LT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SFA 1series1 LT| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023 | LT 56 | SFA 49 | LT+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2022 | SFA 80 | LT 79 | SFA+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SFA25-5 · last 30 games | LT17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 113.7#89 of 361 | 105.5#262 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 1st half points for | 35.7#132 of 361 | 32.2#289 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +8.7#6 of 361 | +5.0#159 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +12.5#33 of 361 | +1.5#142 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.