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Jacksonville State (12-17 in 2025–26) hosts East Tennessee State (21-11 in 2025–26) on Dec 12, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ETSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · JXST defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
JXST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ETSU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ETSUJXST
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ETSUJXSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II | 34.2 | 14.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Blake Barkley | 30.1 | 14.9 | 6.6 | 1.3 |
| Cam Morris III | 26.1 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 1.5 |
| Jaylen Smith | 24.6 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Jordan McCullum | 24.2 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| Maki Johnson | 24.1 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| Allen Strothers | 20.4 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Gabe Sisk | 11.5 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Hill | 32.8 | 11.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil | 32.0 | 21.0 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Jaye Nash | 28.5 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
| AC Bryant | 26.5 | 10.1 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Iaroslav Niagu | 23.1 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 1.4 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford | 22.4 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. | 18.4 | 4.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Jamar Franklin | 16.6 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
ETSU offenseper gameJXST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ETSUForAgainst46% of ETSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
JXSTForAgainst43% of JXST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ETSU 1series2 JXST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | JXST 81 | ETSU 75 | JXST+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | ETSU 61 | JXST 59 | ETSU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | JXST 63 | ETSU 61 | JXST+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ETSU20-10 · last 30 games | JXST12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 50.2%#3 of 361 | 44.8%#333 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 75.5#104 of 361 | 70.2#304 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.7#52 of 361 | 106.8#230 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +10.4#47 of 361 | −1.6#199 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.