Loading the game…
⌘K
UTSA (3-25 in 2025–26) hosts Denver (12-17 in 2025–26) on Dec 11, 2026, 2:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
DEN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · UTSA defense in 1
UTSA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · DEN defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DENUTSA
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
DENUTSANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Carson Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson | 37.3 | 22.9 | 1.9 | 3.7 |
| Jeremiah Burke | 32.6 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
| Logan Kinsey | 30.7 | 10.8 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Zane Nelson | 27.9 | 13.6 | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| Gabe Oldham | 26.5 | 5.1 | 8.3 | 1.0 |
| Shaun Wysocki | 17.7 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 0.5 |
| Julius Rollins | 15.0 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| Josh Lee | 9.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson | 36.5 | 15.3 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| Austin Nunez | 32.1 | 10.8 | 2.0 | 3.3 |
| Brent Moss | 31.6 | 11.4 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| Dorian Hayes | 30.6 | 9.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Baboucarr Njie | 28.2 | 12.6 | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| Matheo Coffi | 21.3 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 0.7 |
| Daniel Akitoby | 18.2 | 7.6 | 5.2 | 0.3 |
| Kaidon Rayfield | 17.3 | 5.9 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
DEN offenseper gameUTSA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
DENForAgainst47% of DEN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UTSAForAgainst48% of UTSA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DEN 0series2 UTSA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | UTSA 84 | DEN 79 | UTSA+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | DEN 64 | UTSA 78 | UTSA+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DEN12-18 · last 30 games | UTSA4-26 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 77.8#65 of 361 | 63.7#357 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.3#55 of 361 | 98.6#341 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.0%#168 of 361 | 48.8%#34 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.1#261 of 361 | −21.4#355 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.