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Purdue (27-8 in 2025–26) hosts Tennessee (22-11 in 2025–26) on Dec 11, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TENN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
PUR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · TENN defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TENNPUR
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
TENNPURNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nate Ament's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie | 36.1 | 17.3 | 2.7 | 5.3 |
| Nate Ament | 32.8 | 20.4 | 7.0 | 2.5 |
| Bishop Boswell | 28.8 | 6.5 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| Felix Okpara | 28.1 | 8.7 | 7.2 | 0.5 |
| J.P. Estrella | 23.3 | 11.7 | 6.3 | 0.9 |
| Jaylen Carey | 19.1 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 1.1 |
| Amari Evans | 17.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| DeWayne Brown II | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 35.8 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 8.8 |
| Fletcher Loyer | 31.2 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 29.4 | 15.0 | 8.4 | 2.5 |
| C.J. Cox | 24.5 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Oscar Cluff | 24.4 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Jack Benter | 15.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Gicarri Harris | 14.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Omer Mayer | 13.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
TENN offenseper gamePUR defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
TENNForAgainst47% of TENN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PURForAgainst49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TENN 0series2 PUR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2024 | TENN 66 | PUR 72 | PUR+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2023 | TENN 67 | PUR 71 | PUR+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TENN19-11 · last 30 games | PUR22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.9%#160 of 361 | 49.0%#19 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 44.1%#352 of 361 | 46.5%#216 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 66.9#239 of 361 | 64.5#333 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 105.0#295 of 361 | 108.3#234 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.