Northern Kentucky (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts South Carolina State (8-21 in 2025–26) on Dec 11, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SCST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NKU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
NKU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · SCST defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Donovan Oday's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Johnson | 30.7 | 15.5 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| Florian Tenebay | 25.2 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| James Morrow | 24.6 | 8.7 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| Noah Treadwell | 23.5 | 10.5 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Cameron Clark | 22.3 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 1.4 |
| Derwin Hodge Jr. | 19.9 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| Owen Bronston Jr. | 18.8 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Chris Parker | 15.7 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tae Dozier | 32.4 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 2.5 |
| Donovan Oday | 32.1 | 20.3 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Ethan Elliott | 31.2 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| LJ Wells | 31.2 | 17.9 | 6.0 | 2.5 |
| Dan Gherezgher | 28.9 | 15.9 | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| Kael Robinson | 26.7 | 12.3 | 4.6 | 0.6 |
| Shawn Nelson | 12.4 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary | 10.3 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of SCST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of NKU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | NKU+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SCST8-22 · last 30 games | NKU17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for | 67.0#325 of 361 | 81.7#32 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 96.7#349 of 361 | 115.5#70 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin | −12.4#348 of 361 | +3.6#91 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −17.9#349 of 361 | +5.1#93 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.