Fresno State (12-19 in 2025–26) hosts Cal State Northridge (18-14 in 2025–26) on Dec 9, 2026, 9:00 PM ET.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CSUN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · FRES defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
FRES offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CSUN defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 72 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Josiah Davis's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro | 34.1 | 14.8 | 8.7 | 2.7 |
| Josiah Davis | 33.8 | 17.6 | 5.5 | 8.9 |
| Larry Hughes II | 33.1 | 16.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| Mahmoud Fofana | 30.2 | 11.8 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Brinson | 20.3 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| James Evans Jr. | 17.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Grady Lewis | 11.6 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| Davius Loury | 10.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 37.1 | 15.6 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| DeShawn Gory | 34.4 | 17.1 | 7.6 | 2.6 |
| Wilson Jacques | 29.6 | 9.7 | 9.0 | 0.7 |
| Zaon Collins | 27.3 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 26.3 | 11.1 | 1.9 | 0.4 |
| Bastien Rieber | 23.1 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| Cameron Faas | 17.2 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| DJ Stickman | 13.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of CSUN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of FRES's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2025 | CSUN+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2022 | FRES+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | FRES+18 | +18 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CSUN17-13 · last 30 games | FRES12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 38.7#36 of 361 | 33.6#234 of 361 | 34.8 |
| 2nd half points against | 44.5#11 of 361 | 39.3#201 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Possessions per game | 75.0#2 of 361 | 68.7#140 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.0#210 of 361 | 105.7#257 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.