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Stephen F. Austin (26-5 in 2025–26) hosts UT Arlington (16-14 in 2025–26) on Dec 9, 2026, 7:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UTA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · SFA defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
SFA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UTA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UTASFA
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UTASFANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Keon Thompson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash Chavis | 28.7 | 12.4 | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Raysean Seamster | 28.5 | 10.6 | 6.3 | 1.8 |
| Marcell McCreary | 28.2 | 10.7 | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| Tyran Mason | 21.5 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 0.6 |
| Bahsil Laster | 19.6 | 7.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 |
| Jordan Lowery | 18.8 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Miles Goodman | 14.6 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 0.1 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 14.5 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson | 30.3 | 20.1 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Chrishawn Christmas | 29.3 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 1.4 |
| Lateef Patrick | 27.2 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Jerald Colonel | 26.5 | 4.9 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| Narit Chotikavanic | 21.9 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Kam Burton | 20.5 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| Ahamed Mohammed | 16.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Gediminas Alisas | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
UTA offenseper gameSFA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UTAForAgainst44% of UTA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SFAForAgainst48% of SFA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UTA 4series2 SFA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | SFA 61 | UTA 66 | UTA+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | SFA 78 | UTA 109 | UTA+31 | +31 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SFA 63 | UTA 71 | UTA+8 | +8 |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UTA 73 | SFA 92 | SFA+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | UTA 75 | SFA 70 | UTA+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | SFA 66 | UTA 62 | SFA+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UTA16-14 · last 30 games | SFA25-5 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 43.8%#353 of 361 | 48.2%#65 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.8#314 of 361 | 113.7#89 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −0.1#172 of 361 | +12.5#33 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | 0.0#170 of 361 | +8.1#36 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.