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Toledo (17-15 in 2025–26) hosts Eastern Michigan (9-21 in 2025–26) on Dec 9, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
EMU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · TOL defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
TOL offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · EMU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
EMUTOL
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
EMUTOLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Leroy Blyden Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Habhab | 37.5 | 14.6 | 8.9 | 3.1 |
| Addison Patterson | 31.5 | 15.3 | 5.1 | 2.9 |
| Gregory Lawson II | 28.6 | 11.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Braelon Green | 26.5 | 7.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Godslove Nwabude | 21.4 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 0.4 |
| Mehki Ellison | 18.4 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Jon Sanders II | 14.0 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Mak Manciel | 11.7 | 4.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson | 37.0 | 16.5 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Leroy Blyden Jr. | 34.7 | 17.0 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| Sean Craig | 31.6 | 10.1 | 6.4 | 1.4 |
| Austin Parks | 27.1 | 9.9 | 5.7 | 2.1 |
| Mynor Strong | 23.7 | 8.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga | 18.5 | 7.6 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Kyler Vanderjagt | 16.0 | 4.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Will James Jr. | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
EMU offenseper gameTOL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
EMUForAgainst46% of EMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
TOLForAgainst50% of TOL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
EMU 1series8 TOL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | EMU 75 | TOL 94 | TOL+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | TOL 73 | EMU 80 | EMU+7 | +7 |
| Jan 7, 2025 | EMU 87 | TOL 90 | TOL+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | TOL 91 | EMU 87 | TOL+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | TOL 70 | EMU 63 | TOL+7 | +7 |
| Jan 24, 2023 | EMU 79 | TOL 84 | TOL+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | TOL 86 | EMU 66 | TOL+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2021 | EMU 63 | TOL 96 | TOL+33 | +33 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2020 | TOL 91 | EMU 74 | TOL+17 | +17 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | EMU9-21 · last 30 games | TOL17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 102.9#301 of 361 | 116.3#56 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 1st half points for | 32.5#273 of 361 | 38.7#36 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −9.7#272 of 361 | +8.8#96 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.2#262 of 361 | +4.3#102 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.