Ball State (10-19 in 2025–26) hosts Evansville (5-25 in 2025–26) on Dec 9, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
EVAN offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · BALL defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
BALL offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · EVAN defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
AJ Casey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller | 37.3 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| AJ Casey | 33.7 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| Bryce Quinet | 30.8 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| Joshua Hughes | 30.5 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Alex Hemenway | 29.9 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Trent Hundley | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| James Dyson-Merwe | 14.9 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Kaia Berridge | 12.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Zeigler | 34.1 | 14.3 | 5.5 | 3.7 |
| Davion Hill | 31.1 | 16.6 | 5.1 | 2.7 |
| Mason Jones | 29.1 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 |
| Elmore James IV | 24.6 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Devon Barnes | 21.2 | 9.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Preston Copeland | 19.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.1 |
| Kayden Fish | 19.9 | 7.8 | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| Juwan Maxey | 14.5 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
46% of EVAN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
45% of BALL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | EVAN+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | BALL+37 | +37 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2023 | EVAN+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | BALL+19 | +19 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | EVAN5-25 · last 30 games | BALL10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 37.0#77 of 361 | 33.1#271 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.3#36 of 361 | 109.3#207 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 67.3#220 of 361 | 65.5#297 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin | −12.5#350 of 361 | −5.6#283 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.