Michigan State vs Maryland Odds, Stats & Props

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

MSU +10.5 · MD −6.9

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

MSU 7-3 · MD 3-7

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

MSU 3d · MD 2d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

MSU offensevsMD defense

MSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · MD defense in 0

Shooting · effective FG%

53.6%

#80Stronger

54.4%

#310

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.5%

#175Stronger

13.2%

#281

Offensive rebounding %

38.5%

#4Stronger

29.1%

#112

Free throw rate

27.6%

#103Stronger

26.0%

#204

MD offensevsMSU defense

MD offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · MSU defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

48.1%

#308

48.6%

Stronger#52

Turnovers · per 100 plays

15.8%

#271

13.3%

slight#269

Offensive rebounding %

33.8%

#73

22.6%

Stronger#1

Free throw rate

26.3%

#148

23.2%

slight#103

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

MSUMD

+15.8 21stNet rating306th −10.4

118.5 41stOffensive rating263rd 105.2

102.7 42ndDefensive rating313th 115.6

66.6 256thPace278th 66.2

Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

MSU 3-point shooting
MSU offense 35.9% (66th) vs MD defense allowing 36.3% (314th)
+248 spots
MSU effective shooting
MSU offense 53.6% (80th) vs MD defense allowing 54.4% (310th)
+230 spots
MSU 2-point shooting
MSU offense 53.4% (106th) vs MD defense allowing 54.4% (283rd)
+177 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

MSU

MINN

DRKE

MD

3 days rest

MD

AMER

OSU

MSU

2 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

MSU · last 10

25-7 · 256 days rest

Mar 27 @ CONN2025–26L 63–67
Mar 21 vs LOU2025–26W 77–69
Mar 19 vs NDSU2025–26W 92–67
Mar 13 vs UCLA2025–26L 84–88
Mar 8 @ MICH2025–26L 80–90
Mar 5 vs RUTG2025–26W 91–87
Mar 1 @ IU2025–26W 77–64
Feb 26 @ PUR2025–26W 76–74
Feb 22 vs OSU2025–26W 66–60
Feb 17 vs UCLA2025–26W 82–59

7-3 in these

MD · last 10

12-21 · 272 days rest

Mar 11 @ IOWA2025–26L 64–75
Mar 10 @ ORE2025–26W 70–60
Mar 8 vs ILL2025–26L 72–78
Mar 4 @ WIS2025–26L 45–78
Mar 1 vs RUTG2025–26L 65–69
Feb 25 @ NEB2025–26L 61–74
Feb 21 vs WASH2025–26W 64–60
Feb 18 @ NU2025–26L 74–78
Feb 15 @ RUTG2025–26L 57–68
Feb 11 vs IOWA2025–26W 77–70

3-7 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Michigan State Spartans

Maryland Terrapins

Jeremy Fears Jr.

MSU vs MD

Player page →

Points No line yet

MSU at MD

Full breakdown

Jeremy Fears Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

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hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

MSU rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Jeremy Fears Jr.	33.7	18.9	1.9	9.6
Coen Carr	30.2	11.9	5.7	1.1
Carson Cooper	28.1	11.5	6.9	1.3
Jaxon Kohler	27.3	10.7	7.9	1.4
Jordan Scott	25.2	7.7	2.7	1.3
Kur Teng	18.9	7.8	1.9	0.9
Divine Ugochukwu	18.7	5.5	2.7	2.3
Cam Ward	15.9	4.3	4.3	0.3

MD rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Solomon Washington	33.3	10.1	9.1	1.5
Elijah Saunders	31.8	8.9	4.1	1.1
Andre Mills	29.5	16.9	4.1	1.7
Darius Adams	24.9	8.6	3.1	1.7
David Coit	24.1	11.3	1.5	2.7
Collin Metcalf	21.1	2.1	4.8	0.5
Myles Rice	17.7	2.0	2.7	0.7
Isaiah Watts	11.0	3.2	1.1	0.1

Team rankings (2025–26)History

MSU offenseper gameMD defense

Effective FG%

80th53.6%

54.4%310th

Turnover %

175th14.5%

13.2%281st

Offensive rebound %

4th38.5%

29.1%112th

Free throw rate

103rd27.6%

26.0%204th

Points

81st78.9

76.6230th

Field goal %

51st47.1%

46.6%280th

2-point %

106th53.4%

54.4%283rd

3-point %

66th35.9%

36.3%314th

Free throw %

48th76.3%

72.8%210th

Rebounds

17th39.8

33.496th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

MSUForAgainst

1st half

34.0

34.2

2nd half

44.5

38.5

Game

78.5

72.8

43% of MSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

MDForAgainst

1st half

31.4

34.8

2nd half

34.9

41.0

Game

66.2

75.8

47% of MD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

MSU 8series2 MD

Last 10MMMMMMMMMM

Avg total

128.3

combined points

Avg margin

MSU 4.9

per meeting

Biggest win

MSU +43

Jan 24, 2026

Last meeting

MSU won

Jan 24, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026MSU 1-0 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 24, 2026	MD 48	MSU 91	MSU+43	+43

2025MSU 1-0 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 26, 2025	MSU 58	MD 55	MSU+3	+3

2024MSU 2-0 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 3, 2024	MD 54	MSU 63	MSU+9	+9
Jan 21, 2024	MSU 61	MD 59	MSU+2	+2

2023MSU 1-0 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 7, 2023	MD 58	MSU 63	MSU+5	+5

2022MSU 3-0 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 10, 2022	MD 72	MSU 76	MSU+4	+4
Mar 6, 2022	MD 67	MSU 77	MSU+10	+10
Feb 1, 2022	MSU 65	MD 63	MSU+2	+2

2021MSU 0-2 MD

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 11, 2021	MSU 57	MD 68	MD+11	+11
Feb 28, 2021	MSU 55	MD 73	MD+18	+18

Measure	MSU23-7 · last 30 games	MD10-20 · last 30 games	League
Margin per 100 possessions	+16.2#14 of 361	−13.1#328 of 361	−0.7
Scoring margin	+10.8#14 of 361	−8.6#327 of 361	−0.5
Points allowed per 100 possessions	102.9#323 of 361	117.8#22 of 361	109.9
2nd half points against	36.0#330 of 361	42.5#53 of 361	39.7

Measure	MSU23-7 · last 30 games	MD10-20 · last 30 games	League
Margin per 100 possessions	+16.2#14 of 361	−13.1#328 of 361	−0.7
Scoring margin	+10.8#14 of 361	−8.6#327 of 361	−0.5
Points allowed per 100 possessions	102.9#323 of 361	117.8#22 of 361	109.9
2nd half points against	36.0#330 of 361	42.5#53 of 361	39.7

Michigan State vs Maryland — College Basketball, Dec 9, 2026

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory