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George Mason (22-9 in 2025–26) hosts Morgan State (11-16 in 2025–26) on Dec 8, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MORG offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · GMU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
GMU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MORG defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MORGGMU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MORGGMUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Alfred Worrell Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis | 37.4 | 14.0 | 3.7 | 6.3 |
| Rob Lawson | 34.1 | 11.9 | 4.0 | 3.1 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 31.8 | 19.3 | 4.6 | 1.5 |
| Christian Meeks | 29.1 | 5.5 | 6.0 | 0.6 |
| Eugene Alvin | 20.6 | 9.3 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| Marland Harris | 19.7 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 0.4 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. | 18.7 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Christian Oliver | 16.0 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahari Long | 35.1 | 12.3 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
| Kory Mincy | 32.1 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Fatt Hill | 26.8 | 9.8 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| Riley Allenspach | 26.7 | 14.8 | 6.6 | 0.8 |
| Masai Troutman | 24.5 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Nick Ellington | 15.0 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 0.3 |
| Emmanuel Kanga | 14.3 | 3.9 | 5.2 | 0.7 |
| Stas Sivka | 12.1 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
MORG offenseper gameGMU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MORGForAgainst45% of MORG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
GMUForAgainst48% of GMU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MORG 0series1 GMU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2021 | MORG 53 | GMU 90 | GMU+37 | +37 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MORG12-18 · last 30 games | GMU21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 70.6#52 of 361 | 64.1#343 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points against | 41.8#79 of 361 | 33.6#356 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Scoring margin | −7.8#319 of 361 | +4.6#71 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −11.0#315 of 361 | +7.2#70 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.