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UConn (29-5 in 2025–26) hosts Mississippi Valley State (2-30 in 2025–26) on Dec 8, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MVSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CONN defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
CONN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MVSU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MVSUCONN
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MVSUCONNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Michael James's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael James | 38.3 | 23.1 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Xzayvion Childress | 30.6 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Daniel Mayfield | 30.5 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 1.2 |
| Patrick Punch | 30.3 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| X'Zaevion Barnett | 29.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| Mussa Mzein | 19.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Tyrone Iroghama | 11.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Samuel Murray | 11.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Karaban | 34.1 | 11.5 | 5.2 | 2.7 |
| Silas Demary Jr. | 32.3 | 11.8 | 4.9 | 6.3 |
| Solo Ball | 29.1 | 12.8 | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Braylon Mullins | 28.8 | 12.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Tarris Reed Jr. | 26.5 | 13.0 | 8.3 | 2.7 |
| Jayden Ross | 17.9 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Eric Reibe | 13.6 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Jaylin Stewart | 12.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
MVSU offenseper gameCONN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MVSUForAgainst46% of MVSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CONNForAgainst51% of CONN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MVSU 0series1 CONN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2023 | MVSU 53 | CONN 87 | CONN+34 | +34 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MVSU2-28 · last 30 games | CONN25-5 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | −27.0#359 of 361 | +15.6#17 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −18.5#360 of 361 | +10.2#21 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points against | 82.1#21 of 361 | 65.5#352 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 119.7#13 of 361 | 100.3#342 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.