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⌘K
Kansas City (1-26 in 2025–26) hosts Denver (12-17 in 2025–26) on Dec 8, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
DEN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · KC defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
KC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · DEN defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DENKC
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
DENKCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Carson Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson | 37.3 | 22.9 | 1.9 | 3.7 |
| Jeremiah Burke | 32.6 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
| Logan Kinsey | 30.7 | 10.8 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Zane Nelson | 27.9 | 13.6 | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| Gabe Oldham | 26.5 | 5.1 | 8.3 | 1.0 |
| Shaun Wysocki | 17.7 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 0.5 |
| Julius Rollins | 15.0 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| Josh Lee | 9.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmello Branch | 31.0 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Jayson Petty | 30.7 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| CJ Evans | 30.4 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| Kasheem Grady II | 26.2 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Chris Dockery | 24.8 | 8.4 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Jerome Palm | 23.0 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Addarin Scott | 13.6 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Jamaria Clark | 13.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
DEN offenseper gameKC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
DENForAgainst47% of DEN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
KCForAgainst46% of KC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DEN 5series5 KC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | DEN 69 | KC 61 | DEN+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | KC 74 | DEN 87 | DEN+13 | +13 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | DEN 56 | KC 64 | KC+8 | +8 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | KC 68 | DEN 69 | DEN+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | DEN 61 | KC 60 | DEN+1 | +1 |
| Feb 29, 2024 | KC 84 | DEN 69 | KC+15 | +15 |
| Feb 1, 2024 | DEN 71 | KC 85 | KC+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | DEN 60 | KC 70 | KC+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | KC 83 | DEN 85 | DEN+2 | +2 |
| Jan 27, 2022 | KC 72 | DEN 61 | KC+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DEN12-18 · last 30 games | KC2-28 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 116.3#55 of 361 | 95.1#355 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 2nd half points for | 43.1#40 of 361 | 35.8#325 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.0%#168 of 361 | 48.9%#31 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.1#261 of 361 | −22.9#357 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.