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Minnesota (15-17 in 2025–26) hosts Illinois (24-8 in 2025–26) on Dec 8, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ILL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MINN defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
MINN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ILL defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ILLMINN
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ILLMINNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Keaton Wagler's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Wagler | 37.1 | 20.0 | 4.4 | 5.1 |
| David Mirkovic | 31.3 | 14.9 | 7.1 | 2.7 |
| Kylan Boswell | 27.4 | 10.1 | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Tomislav Ivisic | 27.1 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 2.0 |
| Andrej Stojakovic | 26.5 | 12.9 | 4.8 | 1.1 |
| Jake Davis | 25.9 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| Ben Humrichous | 24.5 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| Zvonimir Ivisic | 18.7 | 6.5 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Durkin | 38.3 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Cade Tyson | 37.1 | 17.9 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Isaac Asuma | 37.1 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Langston Reynolds | 36.3 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 35.0 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 2.3 |
| Grayson Grove | 26.3 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| Kai Shinholster | 11.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Maximus Gizzi | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
ILL offenseper gameMINN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ILLForAgainst47% of ILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MINNForAgainst48% of MINN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ILL 8series0 MINN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | MINN 67 | ILL 77 | ILL+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | ILL 95 | MINN 74 | ILL+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2024 | MINN 97 | ILL 105 | ILL+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | MINN 69 | ILL 78 | ILL+9 | +9 |
| Jan 16, 2023 | ILL 78 | MINN 60 | ILL+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2022 | ILL 76 | MINN 53 | ILL+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | ILL 94 | MINN 63 | ILL+31 | +31 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2020 | MINN 65 | ILL 92 | ILL+27 | +27 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ILL22-8 · last 30 games | MINN13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 83.6#11 of 361 | 71.5#288 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Scoring margin | +12.2#10 of 361 | −0.8#194 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +18.4#10 of 361 | −1.3#194 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 124.7#2 of 361 | 109.5#170 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.