Penn State (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts Nebraska (26-6 in 2025–26) on Dec 8, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NEB offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
PSU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · NEB defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Pryce Sandfort's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort | 36.7 | 19.5 | 5.1 | 1.7 |
| Sam Hoiberg | 35.3 | 11.1 | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| Jamarques Lawrence | 29.7 | 9.2 | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| Rienk Mast | 29.7 | 11.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel | 24.5 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| Braden Frager | 24.0 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Cale Jacobsen | 21.0 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Jared Garcia | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo | 34.1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 32.6 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Ivan Juric | 28.2 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 28.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dominick Stewart | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Eli Rice | 20.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Melih Tunca | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Mason Blackwood | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of NEB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
42% of PSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | NEB+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025 | PSU+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | NEB+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | NEB+9 | +9 | ||
| Jan 21, 2023 | PSU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | NEB+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | PSU+6 | +6 | ||
| Feb 23, 2021 | PSU+3 | +3 | ||
| Feb 14, 2021 | NEB+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NEB24-6 · last 30 games | PSU10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 99.7#348 of 361 | 120.9#8 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points against | 66.7#343 of 361 | 80.9#35 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +14.5#23 of 361 | −11.6#320 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +9.7#24 of 361 | −7.8#318 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.