Wisconsin (24-10 in 2025–26) hosts Purdue (27-8 in 2025–26) on Dec 8, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PUR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · WIS defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
WIS offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Boyd's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 35.8 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 8.8 |
| Fletcher Loyer | 31.2 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 29.4 | 15.0 | 8.4 | 2.5 |
| C.J. Cox | 24.5 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Oscar Cluff | 24.4 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Jack Benter | 15.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Gicarri Harris | 14.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Omer Mayer | 13.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell | 35.8 | 19.7 | 5.1 | 2.4 |
| Nick Boyd | 35.5 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 |
| Nolan Winter | 33.0 | 11.5 | 8.3 | 1.1 |
| Andrew Rohde | 28.4 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| Austin Rapp | 23.8 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| Braeden Carrington | 22.7 | 9.9 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas | 22.5 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Jack Janicki | 13.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of WIS's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | WIS+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 3, 2026 | PUR+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | WIS+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | WIS+1 | +1 | ||
| Mar 10, 2024 | PUR+8 | +8 | ||
| Feb 4, 2024 | PUR+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | PUR+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | WIS+3 | +3 | ||
| Jan 3, 2022 | WIS+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | PUR+4 | +4 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PUR22-8 · last 30 games | WIS20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 37.4#294 of 361 | 42.8#45 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Possessions per game | 64.5#333 of 361 | 69.2#108 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 49.0%#19 of 361 | 46.8%#174 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 108.3#234 of 361 | 111.8#142 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.