Lafayette (10-21 in 2025–26) hosts Pennsylvania (17-11 in 2025–26) on Dec 7, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PENN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LAF defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
LAF offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · PENN defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
TJ Power's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Power | 36.7 | 18.9 | 7.9 | 2.1 |
| Ethan Roberts | 31.1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.2 |
| Michael Zanoni | 30.9 | 10.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| AJ Levine | 27.7 | 10.4 | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| Augustus Gerhart | 19.5 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Jay Jones | 16.4 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| Lucas Lueth | 16.0 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Cam Thrower | 13.3 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler | 34.8 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 4.5 |
| Andrew Phillips | 34.1 | 13.6 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Caleb Williams | 32.9 | 16.0 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert | 30.0 | 7.1 | 7.3 | 0.6 |
| Shareef Jackson | 22.9 | 10.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
| Ryan Pettit | 20.9 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Misha Bednostin | 13.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| KaiMani Murdock | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of PENN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
46% of LAF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | PENN+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | LAF+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | PENN+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2022 | PENN+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | PENN+28 | +28 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PENN18-12 · last 30 games | LAF10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 76.7#83 of 361 | 69.5#318 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −2.5#127 of 361 | −4.9#334 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.7#154 of 361 | −9.3#296 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Possessions per game | 68.9#132 of 361 | 66.4#265 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.