Iowa State (27-7 in 2025–26) hosts Purdue (27-8 in 2025–26) on Dec 6, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PUR offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · ISU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
ISU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Joshua Jefferson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith | 35.8 | 12.5 | 3.5 | 8.8 |
| Fletcher Loyer | 31.2 | 15.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn | 29.4 | 15.0 | 8.4 | 2.5 |
| C.J. Cox | 24.5 | 7.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Oscar Cluff | 24.4 | 9.1 | 6.9 | 1.5 |
| Jack Benter | 15.3 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Gicarri Harris | 14.7 | 4.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Omer Mayer | 13.8 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamin Lipsey | 33.1 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Joshua Jefferson | 32.3 | 16.3 | 7.2 | 4.4 |
| Milan Momcilovic | 31.9 | 15.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Blake Buchanan | 23.8 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 1.3 |
| Nate Heise | 23.7 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| Killyan Toure | 21.6 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Jamarion Batemon | 17.7 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Dominykas Pleta | 13.3 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
50% of ISU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | ISU+23 | +23 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PUR22-8 · last 30 games | ISU23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.5%#216 of 361 | 48.3%#62 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 108.3#234 of 361 | 97.9#356 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 64.5#333 of 361 | 66.9#235 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.