Ohio State (21-12 in 2025–26) hosts Maryland (12-21 in 2025–26) on Dec 6, 2026.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MD offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · OSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
OSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MD defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Bruce Thornton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Washington | 33.3 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 1.5 |
| Elijah Saunders | 31.8 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 1.1 |
| Andre Mills | 29.5 | 16.9 | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| Darius Adams | 24.9 | 8.6 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| David Coit | 24.1 | 11.3 | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| Collin Metcalf | 21.1 | 2.1 | 4.8 | 0.5 |
| Myles Rice | 17.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Isaiah Watts | 11.0 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton | 36.2 | 19.7 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 32.9 | 16.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Devin Royal | 32.8 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Amare Bynum | 31.4 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Christoph Tilly | 24.7 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| Taison Chatman | 20.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Ivan Njegovan | 12.7 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Puff Johnson | 11.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of MD's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
48% of OSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | OSU+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | OSU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | MD+24 | +24 | ||
| Feb 10, 2024 | OSU+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | OSU+11 | +11 | ||
| Jan 8, 2023 | MD+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2022 | MD+15 | +15 | ||
| Feb 6, 2022 | OSU+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2021 | OSU+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MD10-20 · last 30 games | OSU18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | −13.1#328 of 361 | +8.4#59 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −8.6#327 of 361 | +5.6#60 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 64.4#325 of 361 | 83.4#60 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.8#272 of 361 | 118.5#34 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.