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Missouri State (12-18 in 2025–26) hosts Tulsa (24-7 in 2025–26) on Dec 6, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
TLSA offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MOST defense in 0
MOST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · TLSA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
TLSAMOST
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
TLSAMOSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Michael Osei-Bonsu's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ade Popoola | 31.0 | 11.5 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| Miles Barnstable | 30.9 | 14.9 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| Tylen Riley | 29.5 | 16.1 | 4.7 | 5.0 |
| David Green | 28.7 | 15.3 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| Tyler Behrend | 23.3 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 2.3 |
| Myles Rigsby | 17.4 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Romad Dean | 13.5 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 0.3 |
| Jaylen Lawal | 11.7 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams | 36.1 | 15.2 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Trey Williams Jr. | 33.5 | 10.4 | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| Keith Palek III | 33.3 | 15.8 | 5.6 | 3.3 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu | 30.9 | 16.9 | 7.8 | 2.3 |
| Antwan Burnett | 23.0 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| Zaxton King | 22.7 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Melakih Cunningham | 13.3 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Darrion Sutton | 10.7 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 0.7 |
TLSA offenseper gameMOST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
TLSAForAgainst46% of TLSA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MOSTForAgainst43% of MOST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
TLSA 2series1 MOST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | MOST 74 | TLSA 98 | TLSA+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | TLSA 106 | MOST 111 | MOST+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | MOST 72 | TLSA 73 | TLSA+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | TLSA23-7 · last 30 games | MOST12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +7.4#12 of 361 | +1.2#257 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 83.7#10 of 361 | 75.5#207 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +14.7#21 of 361 | −2.2#207 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 122.7#8 of 361 | 110.0#159 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.