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Virginia (28-5 in 2025–26) hosts Boston College (11-20 in 2025–26) on Dec 6, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UVA defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
UVA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · BC defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
BCUVA
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
BCUVANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Fred Payne's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Payne | 35.9 | 18.0 | 4.7 | 2.6 |
| Boden Kapke | 30.2 | 12.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| Donald Hand Jr. | 26.3 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Hastings | 24.9 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Luka Toews | 24.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Chase Forte | 24.2 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Aidan Shaw | 23.7 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.4 |
| Caleb Steger | 12.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall | 29.5 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 4.3 |
| Thijs De Ridder | 27.7 | 14.6 | 6.1 | 1.6 |
| Sam Lewis | 26.3 | 11.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| Chance Mallory | 23.8 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Malik Thomas | 22.1 | 11.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 20.5 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 0.7 |
| Johann Grunloh | 18.1 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Jacari White | 18.0 | 8.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
BC offenseper gameUVA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
BCForAgainst46% of BC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UVAForAgainst47% of UVA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
BC 1series7 UVA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | UVA 73 | BC 66 | UVA+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | BC 56 | UVA 74 | UVA+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | BC 60 | UVA 66 | UVA+6 | +6 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UVA 72 | BC 68 | UVA+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | UVA 48 | BC 63 | BC+15 | +15 |
| Jan 28, 2023 | BC 57 | UVA 76 | UVA+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2022 | BC 55 | UVA 67 | UVA+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2021 | UVA 61 | BC 49 | UVA+12 | +12 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BC11-19 · last 30 games | UVA25-5 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −12.9#314 of 361 | +16.2#21 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 101.1#325 of 361 | 118.0#41 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 1st half points for | 30.7#324 of 361 | 38.1#53 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.8#244 of 361 | +14.8#20 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.