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Purdue Fort Wayne (14-15 in 2025–26) hosts Cleveland State (8-22 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026, 2:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CLE offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PFW defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
PFW offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CLE defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CLEPFW
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CLEPFWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Corey Hadnot II's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Beard | 32.6 | 12.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| Dayan Nessah | 31.8 | 18.6 | 7.0 | 3.9 |
| Jaidon Lipscomb | 31.1 | 15.3 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Josiah Harris | 26.0 | 9.9 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Chevalier Emery | 22.9 | 12.9 | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Foster Wonders | 22.7 | 5.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Preist Ryan | 17.7 | 6.4 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| Holden Pierre-Louis | 16.1 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II | 34.9 | 20.5 | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Mikale Stevenson | 30.9 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
| Maximus Nelson | 29.9 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. | 29.1 | 12.8 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| Darius Duffy | 19.8 | 4.5 | 4.1 | 0.5 |
| Deangelo Elisee | 16.5 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 0.4 |
| Chris Morgan | 13.7 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| EJ Mosley | 11.8 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
CLE offenseper gamePFW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CLEForAgainst44% of CLE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
PFWForAgainst47% of PFW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CLE 7series3 PFW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | PFW 92 | CLE 86 | PFW+6 | +6 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | CLE 71 | PFW 74 | PFW+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | PFW 57 | CLE 68 | CLE+11 | +11 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | CLE 68 | PFW 58 | CLE+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | CLE 75 | PFW 72 | CLE+3 | +3 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | PFW 68 | CLE 75 | CLE+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | PFW 74 | CLE 79 | CLE+5 | +5 |
| Jan 16, 2023 | CLE 72 | PFW 60 | CLE+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | CLE 98 | PFW 102 | PFW+4 | +4 |
| Jan 5, 2022 | PFW 58 | CLE 65 | CLE+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CLE8-22 · last 30 games | PFW14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.4%#220 of 361 | 49.2%#23 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points for | 78.6#78 of 361 | 74.0#193 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Possessions per game | 70.6#49 of 361 | 68.7#142 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 111.3#131 of 361 | 107.7#216 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.