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SE Louisiana (8-22 in 2025–26) hosts Incarnate Word (8-19 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026, 2:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UIW offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SELA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
SELA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UIW defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UIWSELA
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UIWSELANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Davion Bailey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Bailey | 36.3 | 16.9 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| Tahj Staveskie | 34.9 | 16.4 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Harold Woods | 29.9 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Jordan Pyke | 23.0 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| Love Bettis | 22.5 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Marcus Glover | 16.3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Lewis Rowe | 14.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Esteban Mann | 12.5 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Gaines | 28.9 | 11.3 | 7.1 | 1.6 |
| Jeremy Elyzee | 28.7 | 10.6 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| Makhi Myles | 24.9 | 8.4 | 3.9 | 0.8 |
| Jaiden Lawrence | 21.9 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| CJ Booker | 20.9 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| Peter Hemschemeier | 18.2 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Jalen Forrest | 16.8 | 8.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| Ethan Pickett | 14.3 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
UIW offenseper gameSELA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UIWForAgainst44% of UIW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SELAForAgainst46% of SELA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UIW 3series7 SELA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | UIW 62 | SELA 74 | SELA+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | SELA 70 | UIW 79 | UIW+9 | +9 |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UIW 71 | SELA 67 | UIW+4 | +4 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 | UIW 66 | SELA+5 | +5 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UIW 63 | SELA 86 | SELA+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | SELA 73 | UIW 56 | SELA+17 | +17 |
| Feb 5, 2024 | UIW 64 | SELA 76 | SELA+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2023 | UIW 67 | SELA 77 | SELA+10 | +10 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | SELA 75 | UIW 71 | SELA+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | SELA 84 | UIW 92 | UIW+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UIW9-21 · last 30 games | SELA8-22 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.5%#293 of 361 | 48.6%#45 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.2%#348 of 361 | 47.2%#133 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.1#55 of 361 | 109.5#202 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 107.4#222 of 361 | 99.5#336 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.