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Cincinnati (18-15 in 2025–26) hosts Xavier (14-18 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
XAV offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · CIN defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
CIN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · XAV defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
XAVCIN
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
XAVCINNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tre Carroll's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Messina-Moore | 35.0 | 11.1 | 3.1 | 3.5 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 32.3 | 12.1 | 6.8 | 4.0 |
| Tre Carroll | 31.7 | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.2 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 29.6 | 13.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Roddie Anderson III | 22.1 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| All Wright | 21.5 | 7.5 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Isaiah Walker | 20.9 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
| Anthony Robinson | 7.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller | 33.9 | 12.9 | 9.9 | 4.3 |
| Day Day Thomas | 31.7 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Jizzle James | 30.3 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Jalen Celestine | 29.7 | 11.7 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| Moustapha Thiam | 28.3 | 15.0 | 8.2 | 0.6 |
| Keyshuan Tillery | 15.5 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Sencire Harris | 13.2 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Kerr Kriisa | 11.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
XAV offenseper gameCIN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
XAVForAgainst46% of XAV's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CINForAgainst49% of CIN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
XAV 5series1 CIN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | CIN 74 | XAV 79 | XAV+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | XAV 65 | CIN 68 | CIN+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | CIN 79 | XAV 84 | XAV+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | XAV 80 | CIN 77 | XAV+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2021 | CIN 63 | XAV 83 | XAV+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2020 | XAV 77 | CIN 69 | XAV+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | XAV12-18 · last 30 games | CIN15-15 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 39.5#19 of 361 | 30.9#346 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.1#58 of 361 | 100.2#345 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −10.0#277 of 361 | +13.5#39 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −5.0#247 of 361 | +6.4#74 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.