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Florida State (18-15 in 2025–26) hosts Dayton (23-11 in 2025–26) on Dec 5, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
DAY offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · FSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
FSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · DAY defense in 3
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
DAYFSU
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
DAYFSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Robert McCray V's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett | 36.5 | 15.9 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery | 30.8 | 11.5 | 4.6 | 2.1 |
| Keonte Jones | 29.3 | 5.8 | 4.7 | 2.3 |
| Amaël L'Etang | 26.5 | 13.0 | 5.9 | 1.9 |
| Jordan Derkack | 23.0 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 |
| Jaiun Simon | 22.4 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Bryce Heard | 19.6 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| Jacob Conner | 13.1 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lajae Jones | 32.9 | 14.7 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Robert McCray V | 30.0 | 19.6 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
| Chauncey Wiggins | 29.1 | 14.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Martin Somerville | 26.7 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Thomas Bassong | 24.1 | 6.1 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
| Alex Steen | 22.6 | 6.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 |
| AJ Swinton | 18.5 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Kobe MaGee | 14.3 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
DAY offenseper gameFSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
DAYForAgainst50% of DAY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
FSUForAgainst49% of FSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
DAY 1series0 FSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | FSU 69 | DAY 97 | DAY+28 | +28 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | DAY20-10 · last 30 games | FSU16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 37.0#306 of 361 | 41.8#79 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 103.1#320 of 361 | 111.4#151 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 2nd half points for | 37.8#260 of 361 | 40.9#118 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Possessions per game | 67.9#189 of 361 | 70.5#55 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.