Miami (OH) vs Buffalo Odds, Stats & Props

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

M-OH +10.9 · BUF +0.5

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

M-OH 8-2 · BUF 3-7

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

M-OH 2d · BUF 2d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

M-OH offensevsBUF defense

M-OH offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · BUF defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

59.2%

#6Stronger

55.1%

#330

Turnovers · per 100 plays

13.2%

#69slight

15.7%

#103

Offensive rebounding %

25.3%

#329

31.1%

Stronger#208

Free throw rate

30.2%

#45slight

23.3%

#106

BUF offensevsM-OH defense

BUF offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · M-OH defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

55.4%

#31Stronger

50.8%

#144

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.5%

#177

15.4%

slight#121

Offensive rebounding %

27.1%

#291

28.1%

Stronger#75

Free throw rate

29.1%

#64slight

22.8%

#94

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

M-OHBUF

+15.1 23rdNet rating168th +0.7

121.5 15thOffensive rating75th 114.8

106.4 97thDefensive rating284th 114.1

71.8 22ndPace213th 67.5

Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

M-OH 2-point shooting
M-OH offense 61.5% (2nd) vs BUF defense allowing 56.9% (338th)
+336 spots
M-OH effective shooting
M-OH offense 59.2% (6th) vs BUF defense allowing 55.1% (330th)
+324 spots
M-OH scoring
M-OH offense 87.2 (5th) vs BUF defense allowing 77.0 (241st)
+236 spots
BUF scoring
BUF offense 77.5 (104th) vs M-OH defense allowing 76.3 (224th)
+120 spots
BUF effective shooting
BUF offense 55.4% (31st) vs M-OH defense allowing 50.8% (144th)
+113 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

M-OH

CMU

BUF

2 days rest

BUF

TOW

WMU

M-OH

2 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

M-OH · last 10

28-1 · 259 days rest

Mar 20 @ TENN2025–26L 56–78
Mar 18 @ SMU2025–26W 89–79
Mar 12 vs MASS2025–26L 83–87
Mar 6 @ OHIO2025–26W 110–108
Mar 3 vs TOL2025–26W 74–72
Feb 27 @ WMU2025–26W 69–67
Feb 24 @ EMU2025–26W 74–64
Feb 20 vs BGSU2025–26W 91–77
Feb 17 @ MASS2025–26W 86–77
Feb 13 vs OHIO2025–26W 90–74

8-2 in these

BUF · last 10

15-15 · 267 days rest

Mar 12 @ AKR2025–26L 70–73
Mar 6 @ TOL2025–26L 78–99
Mar 3 vs EMU2025–26W 72–67
Feb 28 vs CMU2025–26L 70–75
Feb 24 @ AKR2025–26L 85–99
Feb 21 @ MASS2025–26W 86–82
Feb 17 vs NIU2025–26L 70–72
Feb 11 @ BALL2025–26W 63–53
Feb 7 @ USA2025–26L 69–81
Feb 3 vs M-OH2025–26L 71–73

3-7 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Miami (OH) RedHawks

Buffalo Bulls

Ryan Sabol

BUF vs M-OH

Player page →

Points No line yet

M-OH at BUF

Full breakdown

Ryan Sabol's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

M-OH rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Eian Elmer	34.0	15.2	6.1	1.3
Peter Suder	33.7	17.3	5.1	3.7
Brant Byers	32.1	13.3	3.6	0.7
Luke Skaljac	31.1	13.7	2.4	5.6
Antwone Woolfolk	25.9	10.5	6.0	1.9
Justin Kirby	18.2	6.7	3.3	0.7
Almar Atlason	18.1	7.4	1.9	0.6
Trey Perry	12.9	5.4	1.3	1.1

BUF rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Ryan Sabol	38.2	20.9	3.9	3.4
Angelo Brizzi	33.2	18.1	3.1	2.4
Noah Batchelor	32.6	7.9	4.7	1.3
Daniel Freitag	31.7	18.5	3.5	5.2
Derrick Talton Jr.	31.5	6.5	2.8	3.9
Tim Oboh	24.1	8.5	6.1	0.2
Mikhail Pocknett	15.7	3.8	3.0	0.5
Ezra McKenna	14.2	3.2	3.4	0.7

Team rankings (2025–26)History

M-OH offenseper gameBUF defense

Effective FG%

6th59.2%

55.1%330th

Turnover %

69th13.2%

15.7%103rd

Offensive rebound %

329th25.3%

31.1%208th

Free throw rate

45th30.2%

23.3%106th

Points

5th87.2

77.0241st

Field goal %

5th50.8%

47.7%324th

2-point %

2nd61.5%

56.9%338th

3-point %

21st37.5%

35.1%250th

Free throw %

85th75.0%

74.4%284th

Rebounds

199th34.3

34.0129th

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

M-OHForAgainst

1st half

42.3

36.8

2nd half

44.1

41.8

Game

86.4

78.6

49% of M-OH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

BUFForAgainst

1st half

33.5

37.6

2nd half

42.9

43.5

Game

76.4

81.2

44% of BUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

M-OH 7series3 BUF

Last 10MMMMMBMBMB

Avg total

160.8

combined points

Avg margin

M-OH 5.8

per meeting

Biggest win

M-OH +21

Jan 9, 2024

Last meeting

M-OH won

Feb 3, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026M-OH 2-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 3, 2026	M-OH 73	BUF 71	M-OH+2	+2
Jan 17, 2026	BUF 102	M-OH 105	M-OH+3	+3

2025M-OH 2-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 4, 2025	M-OH 84	BUF 69	M-OH+15	+15
Jan 4, 2025	BUF 79	M-OH 93	M-OH+14	+14

2024M-OH 1-0 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 9, 2024	M-OH 86	BUF 65	M-OH+21	+21

2023M-OH 1-1 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 3, 2023	M-OH 63	BUF 68	BUF+5	+5
Jan 10, 2023	BUF 80	M-OH 91	M-OH+11	+11

2022M-OH 0-1 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 22, 2022	BUF 86	M-OH 84	BUF+2	+2

2021M-OH 1-1 BUF

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 29, 2021	M-OH 91	BUF 81	M-OH+10	+10
Mar 11, 2021	M-OH 63	BUF 74	BUF+11	+11

Measure	M-OH28-2 · last 30 games	BUF15-15 · last 30 games	League
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	+8.2#9 of 361	−1.5#301 of 361	−0.5
Share of points scored in the 1st half	49.4%#9 of 361	45.9%#265 of 361	46.8%
Possessions per game	71.5#25 of 361	67.5#212 of 361	68.0
Points allowed per 100 possessions	106.8#263 of 361	114.1#79 of 361	109.9

Measure	M-OH28-2 · last 30 games	BUF15-15 · last 30 games	League
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	+8.2#9 of 361	−1.5#301 of 361	−0.5
Share of points scored in the 1st half	49.4%#9 of 361	45.9%#265 of 361	46.8%
Possessions per game	71.5#25 of 361	67.5#212 of 361	68.0
Points allowed per 100 possessions	106.8#263 of 361	114.1#79 of 361	109.9

Miami (OH) vs Buffalo — College Basketball, Dec 5, 2026

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory